Announcing NL-ESB - A Negative Latency Enterprise Service Bus

Download Paper - NL-ESB - A Negative Latency Enterprise Service Bus



Monads by David Crockford

The monadic curse is that once someone learns what monads are and how to use them, they lose the ability to explain it to other people.

Excellent lecture. Transcript and Monads for Humans


Gradient Boosting Machine Learning by Prof. Hastie

Here is Prof. Hastie's recent talk from the H2O World conference. In this talk, professor Hastie takes us through Ensemble Learners like decision trees and random forests for classification problems.


Other excellent talks from the conference include the following.

  • Michael Marks - Values and Art of Scale in Business
  • Nachum Shacham of Paypal - R and ROI for Big Data
  • Hassan Namarvar, ShareThis - Conversion Estimation in Display Advertising
  • Ofer Mendelevitch, Hortonworks - Bayesian Networks with R and Hadoop,
  • Sandy Ryza, Cloudera - MLlib and Apache Spark
  • Josh Bloch, Lord of the APIs - A Brief, Opinionated History of the API
  • Macro and Micro Trends in Big Data, Hadoop and Open Source
  • Competitive Data Science Panel: Kaggle, KDD and data sports
  • Practical Data Science Panel

The complete playlist can be found here.


P≠NP - A Definitive Proof by Contradiction

Following the great scholarly acceptance and outstanding academic success of "The Clairvoyant Load Balancing Algorithm for Highly Available Service Oriented Architectures, this year I present P Not Equal to NP - A Definitive Proof by Contradiction.


P Not Equal to NP - A Definitive Proof by Contradiction


Click here to read the entire paper in PDF. P Not Equal to NP - A Definitive Proof by Contradiction.


Machine Learning - On the Art and Science of Algorithms with Peter Flach

Over a decade ago, Peter Flach of Bristol University wrote a paper on the topic of "On the state of the art in machine learning: A personal review" in which he reviewed several, then recent books, related to developments in machine learning. This included Pat Langley’s Elements of Machine Learning (Morgan Kaufmann), Tom Mitchell’s Machine Learning (McGraw-Hill), and Data Mining: Practical Machine Learning Tools and Techniques with Java Implementations by Ian Witten and Eibe Frank (Morgan Kaufman) among many others. Dr. Flach mentioned Michael Berry and Gordon Linoff’s Data Mining Techniques for Marketing, Sales, and Customer Support (John Wiley) for it's excellent writing style citing the paragraph below and commending "I wish that all computer science textbooks were written like this."

“People often find it hard to understand why the training set and test set are “tainted” once they have been used to build a model. An analogy may help: Imagine yourself back in the 5th grade. The class is taking a spelling test. Suppose that, at the end of the test period, the teacher asks you to estimate your own grade on the quiz by marking the words you got wrong. You will give yourself a very good grade, but your spelling will not improve. If, at the beginning of the period, you thought there should be an ‘e’ at the end of “tomato”, nothing will have happened to change your mind when you grade your paper. No new data has entered the system. You need a test set!





Now, imagine that at the end of the test the teacher allows you to look at the papersof several neighbors before grading your own. If they all agree that “tomato” has no final ‘e’, you may decide to mark your own answer wrong. If the teacher gives the same quiz tomorrow, you will do better. But how much better? If you use the papers of the very same neighbors to evaluate your performance tomorrow, you may still be fooling yourself. If they all agree that “potatoes” has no more need of an ‘e’ then “tomato”, and you have changed your own guess to agree with theirs, then you will overestimate your actual grade on the second quiz as well. That is why the evaluation set should be different from the test set.” [3, pp. 76–77] 4




That is why when I recently came across  "Machine Learning The Art and Science of Algorithms that Make Sense of Data", I decided to check it out and wasn't disappointed. Dr. Flach is the Professor of Artificial Intelligence at the University of Bristol and in this "future classic", he left no stone unturned when it comes to clarity and explainability.  The book starts with a machine learning sampler, introduces the ingredients of machine learning fast progressing to Binary classification and Beyond. Written as a textbook, riddled with examples, foot-notes and figures, this text elaborates concept learning, tree models, rule models, linear models, distance-based models, probabilistic models to features and ensembles concluding with Machine learning experiments. I really enjoyed the "Important points to remember" section of the book as a quick refresher on machine-learning-commandments.

The concept learning section seems to have been influenced by author's own research interest and is not discussed in as much details in contemporary machine learning texts. I also found frequent summarization of concepts to be quite helpful. Contrary to it's subtitle and compared to it's counterparts, the book however is light on algorithms and code, possibly on purpose. While it explains the concepts with examples, number of formal algorithms are kept to a minimum. This may aid in clarity and help avoiding recipe-book-syndrome while making it potentially inaccessible to practitioners. Great at basics, the text also falls short on elaboration of intermediate to advance topics such as LDA, kernel methods, PCA, RKHS, and convex optimization. For instance, in chapter 10 "Matrix transformations and decompositions" could have been made an appendix while expanding upon meaningful topics like LSA and use cases of sparse matrix (pg 327). It is definitely not the book's fault; but rather of this reader expecting too much from an introductory text just because author explains everything so well!

As a text book on On the Art and Science of Algorithms, Peter Flach definitely delivers on the promise of clarity, with well chosen illustrations and example based approach. A highly recommended reading for all who would like to understand the principles behind machine learning techniques.

Materials can be downloaded from here which generously include excerpts with background material and literature references, full set of 540 lecture slides in PDF including all figures in the book with LaTeX beamer source of the above.


Demystification of Demystifying Machine Learning using nuML w/ Seth Juarez

Going for a little Benoit B. Mandelbrot recursion joke here with the title.

Seth Juarez (github) recently spoke to Pasadena .NET user group on the topic of Practical Machine Learning using nuML. Seth is a wonderful speaker, educator and nuML is an excellent library to get started with machine learning in .NET. His explanations are very intuitive; even for people who have been working in the field for a while. During the talk and follow up discussions, there were various technical references made which went beyond the scope of talk. To be fair with Seth, he covered lot of material in an hour and a half; probably couple of weeks worth in a traditional ML course.

Therefore I decided to provide links to these underlying topics for the benefit of attendees in case anyone is interested in knowing more about them.

Happy Machine Learning!


The Clairvoyant Load Balancing Algorithm for Highly Available Service Oriented Architectures

Abstract: Load balancing allows network devices to distribute workload across multiple processing resources including server clusters and storage devices. This distribution helps maximize throughput, achieve optimal resource utilization, minimize response time and help use hardware effectively in multiple data-center locations. As a meta-heuristic enhancement to Psychic Routing[1], researchers present early work in a novel algorithm Clairvoyant for optimal yet unrealizable distribution of traffic.
Among many earlier works including [5, 4], the main inspiration of this algorithm is the RFC 1149, i.e. a standard for the Transmission of IP Datagrams on Avian Carriers. Study of literature suggests that earlier work by [7, 2] on internet protocol over xylophone players (IPoXP) also has a huge impact on classical OSI network model. A typical application load balancing is based on techniques including round robin, weighted round robin, least connections, shortest response, SNMP, weighted balance, priority, overflow, persistence, least used, lowest latency, and enforced traffic flow [6]. Researchers propose that Clairvoyant, by utilizing the ensemble of anomalous cognition, ESP, remote viewing and psychometry, can provide a high performance yet irreproducible load balancing approach. The Clairvoyant load balancing algorithm helps the system administrator fine-tune how traffic is distributed across connections in a psychic manner. Backed by parapsychological research[1], each load balancer is equipped with an enterprise grade channeling medium with features to fulfill potential special deployment requirements. Building upon the techniques proposed in RFC 5984, using extrasensory perception to achieve "infinite bandwidth" in IP networks, Clairvoyant can achieve negative latency as well as negative transmission time difference with appropriate parameters, unachievable by traditional methods[6, 3]. The algorithm uses claircognizance to redirect traffic to one of the unused or even non existent nodes. Clairaudience allows setting up the connection priority order, however early experiments suggest that using 0x8 spherical surfaces also achieve the same level of performance when compared using ROC/AUC.
Although irreproducible in most non-REM environments, the researchers see the potential of using this load balancing algorithm in most high performing service oriented architectures allowing the packet forwarding that will provide unsurpassed end user performance regardless of link capacity, distance, and number of hops. Detailed algorithm and findings will be published in The Journal of Irreproducible Results by 4/1/2014.


[1] Jonathan Anderson, Frank Stajano. Psychic Routing: Upper Bounds on Routing in Private DTNs. , 2011.

[2] R Stuart Geiger, Yoon Jung Jeong, Emily Manders. Black-boxing the user: internet protocol over xylophone players (IPoXP). Proceedings of the 2012 ACM annual conference extended abstracts on Human Factors in Computing Systems Extended Abstracts:71—80, 2012.

[3] David R Karger, Matthias Ruhl. Simple efficient load balancing algorithms for peer-to-peer systems. Proceedings of the sixteenth annual ACM symposium on Parallelism in algorithms and architectures:36—43, 2004.

[4] KM Moller. Increasing Throughput in IP Networks with ESP-Based Forwarding: ESPBasedForwarding. , 2011.

[5] C Pignataro, G Salgueiro, J Clarke. Service Undiscovery Using Hide-and-Go-Seek for the Domain Pseudonym System (DPS). , 2012.

[6] Sandeep Sharma, Sarabjit Singh, Meenakshi Sharma. Performance analysis of load balancing algorithms. World Academy of Science, Engineering and Technology, 38:269—272, 2008.

[7] Emily Wagner, Yoon Jeong, R Stuart Geiger. IPoXP: Internet Protocol over Xylophone Players.



LA Machine Learning event on Mining Time Series Data w/ Sylvia Halasz

Last night's LA Machine Learning event on Mining Time Series Data w/ Sylvia Halasz of YP at OpenX Pasadena was quite interesting and well attended. Dr. Halasz spoke about Adaptive Ensemble Kalman Filter and her work on building n-gram correlation with the flu outbreaks. Some of the associated papers follow.




Causality, Probability, and Time - A Temporo-Philosophical Primer to Causal Inference with Case Studies

Causality, Probability and Time by Dr. Samantha Kelinberg is a whirlwind yet original journey of the interdisciplinary study of probabilistic temporal logic and causal inference. Probabilistic causation is a fairly demanding area of study which studies the relationship between cause and effect using the tools of probability theory. Judea Pearl, in his seminal text "Causality: Models, Reasoning, and Inference" refers to this quandary by stating that

(causality) connotes lawlike necessity, whereas probabilities connote exceptionality, doubt, and lack of regularity.


Dr. Kelinberg's work provides a balanced introduction to background work on this topic while breaking new grounds on a well-positioned approach of causality based on temporal logic. The envisioning problem is the problem of deducing the set of facts, possibly as the result of our actions leading to the decision problem. This is compounded with finding a timely and useful way to represent our knowledge about time, change, and chance.


In this ~260 page book, Dr. Kelinberg begins with a brief history of causality leading to Probability, logic and probabilistic temporal logic. The author then defines causality from various different facets, proceeding to causality inference, token causality and then finally the case studies. With practical examples and algorithms, author devises simple mathematical tools for analyzing the relationships between causal connections, inference, causal significance, model complexity, statistical associations, actions and observations.

Exploiting the temporal nature of probabilistic events, Dr. Kelinberg's research is a thought provoking and valuable addition to the scientific community interested in learning causal effects and inference with respect to time. Built upon the works of the likes of Heckerman, Breese, Santos and Young, this book will pave the way probabilistic reasoning researchers think about temporal effects on causality for years to come.

David Hume believed that the causes are invariably followed by their effects: "We may define a cause to be an object, followed by another, and where all the objects similar to the first, are followed by objects similar to the second." So, would you like a well written margin-annotation-laden text which provides formal and practical case study based approach to this somewhat abstract concept of causality? Then look no further!


Selected Papers on Interestingness Measures, Knowledge Discovery and Outlier Mining

  • S.   Hettich    and   S.  D.   Bay.   Kdd   cup   1999  data.       UCI   KDD   Archive
    [      /databases/kddcup99/kddcup99.html],         1999.
  • E.  Suzuki.     Lecture  Notes   in  Computer   Science,   volume  5579/2009,   chapter  Compression-Based    Measures  for Mining  Interesting   Rules,  pages  741-746. Springer  Berlin  /  Heidelberg,  2009.



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